Live Miraculous Streak : A modest DREAM come TRUE in 日本🎌 ! {16th Jan '25}

    Today saw a most improbable dream realized as a gamble a Dec 28th 2023 stillborn gamble on speculative Yumemitsuketai 夢みつけ隊 was unwound at the highest limit-UP price allowed for the day, a massive 31.6% hike on its  ¥95 prior day close. An hour after it hit that peak not long after the open, I knew that it was an iffy proposition to try to grab that price, with a partial execution risk that threatened to turn the transaction to a losing one since the commissions were barely covered even with a complete exit.

    I deliberately went to the same hospital cafeteria where I received the thrilling WhatsApp that informed me of the lucky sale of 71st 🎌 gainer Kodama Chemical  児玉化学 back on the eve of Christmas Eve last year, also at its limit-up price, praying that the order would be executed without undue complication. As synchronicity would have it, shortly after the Tokyo afternoon re-open, I got the single word confirmation 'Match' from my dealer. I replied 'Sold all ?' and received an answer in the affirmative!  And so, a stock that I had first noticed as early as 2H '17 & has only been in public markets for less than a quarter century finally debuted as the 72nd 🎌 gainer after dipping to as low as -26.8% on my 1,000 shares.

    Thus, my beloved income marathon reaches its 231st weekend & garners its 8th scorer in '25 plus 1,110 continuous days with yesterday's $11.11 in net earnings perhaps a harbinger?

Live Miraculous Streak : Celcom DIGI rings up two consecutive days of gains to chalk up 1,109 in a row ! {16th Jan '25}

   An exciting instinctive purchase of  soon-to-be 6 consecutive year winner Petronas Dagangan , which memorably clinched the millenium mark & the 1,001 day milestone in 2 consecutive sessions as #80 in '24, based on a rebound expectation after a 70c tumble yesterday & a 700-point rebound in the oldest US market index last night turned out to be at the lowest price of the day and the only transaction at that price: $18.88! However, after soaring to a high of $19.54 early on, fueled by encouraging volume, petered out by the close, yet still showed a +2% hike on the day. 

  With the day trade potentiality eliminated, CelcomDIGI, the previous day's baton-holder, carried the streak through to a hundred & nine days beyond that epic millenium mark achieved Aug 13th 2024!

 

Live Miraculous Streak : Celcom DIGI earns in '13, '15-'16, '19, '21-'22 & '24-'25 ! {15th Jan '25}

   Was scratching my head as to which stock to unload as Subaru drifted further & further from my queued sell price while Tsutsumi Jewelry was in the red & strengthened my reluctance to sell into weakness, when it dawned on me that I still had 321 shares of CelcomDIGI left after averaging down the cost to below $3.50 late last year & taking partial profit on its most recent ex-dividend date.

  A great decision in hindsight, as a fancifully queued 8 shares at $4.74 were unexpectedly SOLD on top of a hundred at $3.71, one of the rare prices up in a down market verging on panic with 964 losers at the close versus only 193 advancers, of which the new 7th winner was one! Averaged out, the sale price was over 5 sen higher than the highest price in the board lot market, swallowing over half the trading commission & so I bagged my coveted 1,108 consecutive days of trading income! 

 Also, the former DIGI.com pre-merger has earned in eight of the last 13 years even as it approaches its dubious tenth anniversary of downtrending action after peaking at $6.65 in the first week of February 2015, more than halving at its bottom in 2022! My mobile service provider thus indirectly subsidizes nearly $980 of my expenditures for the bandwith since getting a smartphone as a gift for the first time ever in September '22, via my accurate scalping from its stock's zigs & zags !

Live Miraculous Streak : Jasa Kita delivers the 7th 'Good Deed' in half a Year ! {14th Jan '25}

   Last year's super dividend payer, which doled out the equivalent of a 32% dividend yield in 3 unprecedented payments of  1c, 2c & 1.5c for those fortunate enough to buy its shares in 1H '24 for 14c debuts at #6 this year[#77 in '24]: Jasa Kita is pared down to 4,300 shares at 23c, its highest price in over a decade & securing 1,107 days successively in the increasingly miraculous run of stock trading income! In Japan, my  original pick to propogate the run, Subaru, missed 2-time adjusted sell queues by a fraction of a minute & then by 0.5 yen! Perhaps the Universe knows I can get a better price in the coming days!

Live Miraculous Streak : KLCC Property REIT scores 3 years out of the last 8 ! {13th Jan '25}

  4-times-a-year dividend payer & owner of both the iconic Petronas Twin Towers & the white marble Dayabumi building in the heart of Kuala Lumpur, KLCC Property REIT is today pared down to my last 83 shares from a peak of over five hundred acquired in 2020, earning a nominal net gain to further the continuity of the impossible-made-possible marathon of stock trading income while becoming the 5th & newest scorer in 2025, subsequent to 4 rounds in 2024 as #23:

   This despite most of the rest of the local market falling into the red with the loss-win margin at 928-183 as at 4pm with sellers likely anticipating the Dow's nearly 700 point swoon on Friday as a harbinger of more bearishness to come, sending the Composite stock index firmly below  the round 1,600-number mark that it so securely stayed above for most of the last 9 months, excepting a deep drop into the 1,530 range early last August. Makes me glad to have unloaded most of my stakes in my  brokerage & exchange-related winners Kenanga, OSK and Bursa last year!

Live Miraculous Streak : 36-time Scorer YTL Corp takes the reins of the marathon as scalp #4 ! {10th Jan '25}

   After nearly two months' absence, YTL Corp returns in 2025 to complete a hat3rick of consecutive years of gain, this time as #4[#7 in 2024 & #67 in 2023], incredibly delivering 18X in both of the past 2 years!

 This time, a modest 50 shares are unloaded in the odd lot market for a 56% appreciation over the adjusted cost of my sold & re-purchased shares in the conglomerate, reaching 1,105 days consecutively in the marathon!

    In Tokyo, Toyobo is added to the dividend-paying portfolio after being stalked for more than eighteen months, with a missed chance at just over ¥1,000 redeemed with a maiden purchase at ¥948, the third time's the charm subsequent to 2 unsuccessful attempts to buy at the same price on Wednesday & Thursday! This is the lowest price since 2011-2012 & before that, 1976-1978. In the early '80s, it traded at a 36% premium to its then book value of  ¥883 and dipped briefly below its improved NTA of  ¥1,310 in 2000  where it double-bottomed at ¥1,280 in 1998/2002 before soaring to ¥4,140 in 2006. Since then it has seen low beta with a high of  ¥2,249 in 2018 & a low of ¥885 during last August's sell-off & now trades at a 57% discount to book despite revenue being 67% higher than in 2000. However, EPS is about 30% below 2000 levels & 85% below its record year of 2007 & the sole dividend during the year is 20% lower than those years.

  Unbelievably, the stock price is lower now than during the whole of the 1950s when it fluctuated between ¥1,044 in 1954 & ¥2,572 in 1953 during the first major bull market after WWII. During the year it first came on the market in 1949, it actually rose as high as ¥7,077, a price exceeded only about four decades later in 1988!  ¥10,400 was its Bubble-Era peak & its lows were  ¥448 in 1962, ¥480 in 1969 & ¥800 in 2012 when the Nikkei index was about a fifth of its current level. Thus I acquired it just 7% above its 1-decade nadir last year. Will it see another high watermark 40 years after its last 5-figure quotation in '89, which was in turn 4 decades after its frenzied speculative peak?

Live Miraculous Streak : Supermax loses a teeny 5 sen while Sungei Bagan debuts as #3 ! {9th Jan '25}

  Once again, I couldn't pluck up the gumption to unload all my Supermax shares deftly at $1.20 this morning, still holding out the hope that it could rebound & give me a better price later in the day. However, even if I did, the commission would likely overwhelm the tiny gain obtained!  As it stands, 2,300 shares unloaded at an average of $1.1957 will incur a small net loss of just 5c but brings my stake down by 76% from the peak 30,148 shares on Dec 17th '24. 

  Thus, last year's 17-time scorer Sungei Bagan had to be partly sold in my margin account at $5.50 for a +77% return in over 3 years to swamp the abovementioned technical loss to ensure passage to my 1,104th consecutive day of black ink trading stocks!

As it stands currently, only $8,610.76 of my money remains invested in the glovemaker, with $4,610.21 crystallized income: capital gains + dividends, [including a $1,000 gift from my mum who rode the initial upwave on the Covid bull market with 5,000 shares held since 2010, but then sold too early as well] & a floating paper loss of $426.17 before commissions.

Most satisfyingly, there is now going to be $15,235 in CASH lying idle in my ordinary & margin accounts next week, up from nearly ZERO barely 2 months ago! This is despite changing over $6,500 into yen to pay for four recent Japanese share purchases, spending over $2,600 to raise my Berjaya Sports Toto stake to an all-time high 4.43x more than my holdings 6 years ago, buying over five hundred more Top Glove shares & a few other miscellaneous stocks like Bermaz Auto costing over $3 grand!    

Live Miraculous Streak : Glovemakers monopolise the first 5 trading days of '25 with Supermax as a 4-bagger ! {8th Jan '25}

   Instinctively, I sold more of the 2nd scalp of the year as it came perilously close to my breakeven of $1.19, but once again I was not bold enough to dump all 12,333 shares but kept hoping it might rebound to enable a higher average than the day before.

  It looked promising for an hour or two before predictably cracking $1.20 despite the large 1 million+ buy queues there and at $1.19 & after exiting just 1,578 shares in the morning, I hastily sold another 700 at $1.19 at the beginning of the 'noon session. If I had waited, my paper profit would have predictably vanished by 3pm but at least, I will now have almost $11,000 sitting in my brokerage balance to collect some morale-boosting interest, despite having whittled down some of the Supermax sales proceeds from 13 sales so far by spending thousands buying more reliable stocks in Japan to collect recent dividends, boosting my stake in Sports Toto to over 18,000 and buying Berjaya Auto for the 1st time ever. The broader market was also very bearish with the KL index down nearly 15 points or 0.9% and losers thumping gainers 827 to 285!

   Tokyo also predictably saw consolidation of recent gains, with Shiseido down nearly 2%, Tsutsumi easing 1%,Kyocera falling over 2%, YKT tumbling over 5% but carmakers Mazda up 0.8% & Subaru advancing by almost an identical margin. Meanwhile, both Kirin and Mabuchi fell almost 1% while Ono Pharma dropped nearly 2% & Komai Haltec eased a third of one percent.

    

     

     Happy also that fellow glove stock Hartalega followed suit & dumped 6% today after my last exit at one-tick-from-the-top $3.97 on the 2nd & is now just 3 ticks from my breakeven cost of nearly 3 years! Multiple dividends in the bag, now OUT you go!!!😊

Live Miraculous Streak : #2 Supermax hat3ricks in 2025; Kyocera 京セラvindicates a 2-month bet ! {7th Jan '25}

Shortly after paring my fifteen thousand shares by a couple of hundred at the $1.30 open, I began to feel uneasy about Supermax's price movement & sold another five hundred at a lower price less than 2 hours after the open.

After lunch, the uneasiness did not abate & I proceeded to log in via smartphone, my least preferred method of trading & sold one-two lots at a go, at $1.25, then $1.24, then eventually $1.23  while sipping tea in a hospital cafeteria anxiously watching the price action as the sellers dumped hundreds of thousands intermittently at half past three. I went home & arrived by 4:20 pm & sold a few hundred more shares, thus whittling down my stake to 12,333 shares by the close at an average of just below $1.245.

 Its price action today has certainly been the most bearish it has been in many days & seems to have confirmed that it's unable to break the April 2022 resistance at $1.33 to move higher, despite a news report that the HPMV virus is increasing in frequency a day earlier & the announcement that its recent bonus issue has been approved by the exchange overnight.

  Fortunately, I have much consolation in Tokyo with renowned Kyocera 京セラ jumping 8% on heavy volume & chipmaker Rohm ローム continuing to advance 4.2% on yesterday's bullishness to move into a clear paper gain after commissions while Kawase カワセ finally stirs to life with a 2% increase & Komai Haltec 駒井ハルテック almost matches that to cover half of one commission.

   Star performer YKT looked promising for a breach of 300 but closed with a loss of nearly 2%. 'Que Sera Sera' or more aptly : '"  Kyo Cera Cera'"!😄

Live Miraculous Streak : 1,101 market days successively ! {6th Jan '25}

        2nd scorer Supermax is pared down to 15,033 shares while in Japan, the Nikkei plunges nearly 600 points on its first trading session of the brand new year, but not badly enough to dent my portfolio members Rohm ローム +1%, Ono Pharmaceutical 小野薬品 +2%,  Tobishima 飛島 +0.4%  Mazda マツダ = and especially Tsutsumi Jewelry ツツミ+4.3% leaving some room to reconstitute my Tokyo portfolio while extending the miraculous, magical run!

Is it possible to predict the Nikkei's tops & bottoms in 2025 using its past history from 1878 till 2018?

                                  1878-1945:

                                US & UK stock indices from 1936-1944:

1950s:

                                     

                                             1960s:

                                                  

1970s:

1980s:

1990s:

2000s:

2010s:

Conclusion:

~Probabilities of next top~

Jan-Feb : 22%[int rates rising rapidly '73-'75,'90]

Mar-Apr: 56% [gradually rising int rates of late '50s]

May-Jun: 51%[ rapidly falling yen '15,'23]

Jul-Aug: 32% [ '18, '21, 23]

Sep-Oct: 54% [ '87, '07, '21]

Nov-Dec:21% [ Tokyo property bubble, '89]

Maybank, the most valuable Bursa listing, contributed 4 times to the 2 longest win streaks!

 Maybank contributed once to the 462-day run from Jan 10th 2017 till Nov 28th 2018 that lasted 39 months as the lengthiest run & 3 times to the current longest marathon ever: the 74th, 287th & 483rd link in the incredible unbroken chain in Nov '20, Sep '21 & Jul '22 respectively.

 

Below are its charts from 1970-1975 & 1977-1981:

Live Miraculous Streak : Fellow glovemakers contribute 3 days in a row! {3rd Jan '25}

 Supermax rakes it in a TENTH time within a month's span with another partial sale of 780 shares in the morn, further topped up to a total of 1,080 by the close at prices ranging from $1.30 in the AM down to as low as $1.26 in the PM session because the weekly candlestick chart shows a long upper-wick'd bearish candlestick that is butting up against the $1.33 peak in the week of April 4-8, 2022 which proved to be a pivotal reversal week on the downside to eventually culminate in a 52% decline to its ultimate 64c nadir in end-September that year. Thus, only 15,233 shares in the glovemaker remain after it takes the scoring streak to a Millennium + a Century of successive market days in duration, with every major milestone in my investing odyssey already reached or exceeded!

Any extra days henceforth are just cherries on the icing on the cake to be savoured slowly like a rich, dessert packed with sweet redemption !!!🏄

Live Miraculous Streak : 4-timer Hartalega goes OUT at 5x to straddle SIX years !!! {2nd Jan '25}

  After fellow glovemaker Supermax closed out the year triumphantly for four unbroken calendar years in the capital gains marathon, Hartalega finally exits my portfolio at $3.97 for another 100% win record that was 3 years in the making, with an initial 200 shares growing to 700 by Dec '21 & increasing piecemeal to a peak of 2,000 last year, including 2 prescient purchases near the lows in Apr '22! This is also the highest price obtained by me for the stock after pocketing a satisfying year-end dividend of over 10c a share.

   1,099 days in a row resets the combined score from an all-time high of 1,207 points on Dec 31st to 1,100 points at the dawn of the New Year! Thrillingly, the chain of gain renews itself straddling SIX improbable years from 2020 till 2025, 3 days after attaining the 53-full month milestone!!!