EQUITYOPPORTUNITY

Saturday, January 04, 2025

Is it possible to predict the Nikkei's tops & bottoms in 2025 using its past history from 1878 till 2018?

                                  1878-1945:

                                US & UK stock indices from 1936-1944:

1950s:
                                     

                                             1960s:

                                                  

1970s:
1980s:
1990s:
2000s:

2010s:

Conclusion:
~Probabilities of next top~

Jan-Feb : 22%[int rates rising rapidly '73-'75,'90]
Mar-Apr: 56% [gradually rising int rates of late '50s]
May-Jun: 51%[ rapidly falling yen '15,'23]
Jul-Aug: 32% [ '18, '21, 23]
Sep-Oct: 54% [ '87, '07, '21]
Nov-Dec:21% [ Tokyo property bubble, '89]






0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home