Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Petronas Chemicals short-seller Carnage 8 days apart!
On 9th March, the seller of petroleum distillates' stock opened 51 ticks above Friday's strong close & then mowed down the sellers in frantic trading up to 62 ticks above that $4.80 open, causing massive grief to shorties of over two million shares brought over from the previous week, allowing me to exit from $4.99 to as high as $5.31 within the first 5 minutes of trading before the price deflated down to $4.55 by lunch break & then cascaded to as low as $4 before closing at $4.12.
I did not monitor the stock's short positions after that, but noticed that it plummeted to as low as $3.61 the very next day, perhaps allowing shorties to recoup some of their massive losses [ since the average short-sold price was below $4.10 ]. However, due to the escalating hostilities, the stock recovered swiftly in 4 of the next 5 days, vaulting 37% to close at $4.95 today. The 3.5% correction yesterday likely lured many to try shorting again & throughout the afternoon, I monitored the mounting IDSS short positions, which exceeded $1 million by 3pm & escalated to $2.015 million, averaging at $4.759 before the aggressors prudently halted their sales. As I predicted, the price closed just off the intraday peak of $4.96 despite over 1 million shares parked at $4.95 to sell as buyers desperate to close their short positions by buying at ever higher bids crystallized their losses, reminiscent perhaps of the Nintendo shorties over in Japan chasing the latter up 1,440 yen higher than the closing just before the Middle East war commenced!
Such are the pitfalls of overconfidence in the thesis that a highly liquid large cap, relatively expensive & incurring big losses in the past few quarters will naturally fall after rising a massive 26% in one day [ March 6th ]. If timing is not on the shorties' side, it can be pretty painful: on March 12th, the shorties' selling comprised just over 10% of the volume traded of 44.656 million when the price closed at $4.60, up a massive 46 ticks when their sale price averaged aptly at $4.44468[ the previous day, the 11th, sported even worse figures for the bears:878,700 shares averaging only $3.95837(closing $4.14)]. The next day, Friday 13th, their outstanding sold volume shrunk by nearly half to 2,247,100 averaging $4.698928 & the stock closed at $4.75 after touching $4.80 intraday. On Monday 16th, the same number shrunk by almost two-thirds to 850,100 shares averaging $4.665339 & the price took a breather to close at the day's low of $4.58. However, today, the volume ballooned by more than double to nearly 2 million: 1,982,800 shares averaging $4.77165 with the price closing 18 ticks higher! It'll be interesting to see whether the 1.5 million or so remaining non-IDSS short volume will be able to escape profitably given Brent crude futures rebounded to above $103 after dipping to $100.86 intraday on the continuing war escalation around the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint!
Miracle Streak : Guocoland Hat3ricks & clinches the 14th Century mark ! {17th Mar '26}
Today, takeover target Guocoland M'sia improbably cements the fourteenth century milestone with a hat3rick sale 4 ticks below the offer price, after Tokyo-listed Yaskawa Electric delightfully clinched the 1,300 mark neatly as the Century stock last year!
Monday, March 16, 2026
Miracle Streak : Thong Guan scores a Maiden Win [ while Inch Kenneth Kajang could pop on Cepco's limit up]! {16th Mar '26}
Plastics packaging and F & B player Thong Guan serves up a first ever win, bringing the streak to the doorstep of another century mark, even as nervousness over today's public sale of ¥285.7 billion of
Today, I also increased my stake in Inch Kenneth Kajang, 15 years past its Centenary as a English listed plantation outfit domiciled in M'sia, based on its 20% stake in Concrete Engineering Products which was the only stock out of nearly 1,000 which went limit-up in the face of war bearishness. Buyers began to emerge in the former shortly after the latter reached the capped price for the first time since 2008 but it was inexplicably dumped down by 6-7 sen in the afternoon, perhaps by loss-cutters, yet heavy buying close to the day's highs returned for the first 15 minutes after 3pm.
Based on a partial writeback of a $43 million impairment of the latter, the former's price could pop by 16% of its current price if today's pop doesn't vanish tomorrow. It has however been in a 13-year bear market due to cumulative losses of $135.042 million since 2013, which gobbled most of its $180.8 million cash pile at the time. However, nearly $32 million was also spent on buybacks from 2013-2019, leaving a small cash position of $4.83 million at the end of '25, with the balance of $13.4 million perhaps used in lease, overheads & equipment expenditure. However, it has recouped another $33 million last year selling 14.91 acres of its 346 acres of landbank to Metro Kajang Holdings. Above is a tracking of the two abovementioned companies' stock prices & an AI-rendered estimation of potential upside to IKK's stock price:
Friday, March 13, 2026
Miracle Streak : Shorts are murdered by Nintendo 任天堂 as it ups for 3 straight days on Pokémon Pokopia, while S'pore's Sunright quietly claims a fresh record ! {13th Mar '26}
As the Pokémon franchise owner continues to forge further into 5 figures in Tokyo in defiance of war-ravaged markets, S'pore semiconductor tester Sunright, the 2nd highest earner thus far after a scorching '17-'18 ascent, is pared again to inch closer to the millennium + four centuries mark due next week!
Nintendo 任天堂 continues to rise against the gravity of war ravagings, averaging ¥10,199.14 trading 15,872,300 shares today, versus yesterday's ¥10,005.95 trading 18,848,400 shares [ including 1,489,700 matched 16 ticks above the last done price] & 32,505,800 shares traded on 3/11 after its latest Pokémon Pokopia game release stunned many by selling over 2.2 million units in the first 4 days! Short-sellers had more than tripled their bet against the stock rising by 6th March, to 1,471,600 shares while margin buying had declined 11.5% to 9,566,300 shares by that date. To give some context to these figures, note that the total short position has increased by 3,543,300 shares from 405,200 shares in the last 15 days & comprised about a quarter of Friday's traded volume versus 2% the day before the outbreak of Gulf hostilities.
Needless to say, it was a proverbially unlucky Friday the 13th for the gamer's shorties this week despite the Iran war pummeling most other stocks' prices, even as data updated till today[ the date of which conversely represents a lucky number for me] shows the margin buying/short-selling ratio for Nintendo [see graph above] has dropped almost to 2x, down from nearly 30x before the outbreak of the current conflict !!!
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Miracle Streak : Nintendo 任天堂 defies the Nikkei's 1,000-point drop gravity while 31st scorer Petron serves up another Record with a Hat3rick ! {12th Mar '26}
Miracle Streak : Public Bank is the 35th Winner in '26 ! {11th Mar '26}
Today, local banking giant Public Bank finances a fresh record in its 60th Anniversary year on ex-divvy day, while
Monday, March 09, 2026
Sunday, March 08, 2026
Miracle Streak : For the 2nd time this month, the escalating Middle East conflict produces a Marathon continuation in a pair of contributors! {9th Mar '26}
An apt day to look for silver linings amid the smoke & fire-darkened world: Petronas Chemicals leaps 26% in the opening minutes & I grab the opportunity to hive off some for a 6% return [& a 52% return on the latest entry] while #31 Petron M'sia is likewise sold again at a higher price to jointly extend the record...
Saturday, March 07, 2026
Very appreciative of the Financial Freedom income exceeding $330,000 in the current ongoing Marathon!
The realized stock profits from Malaysia, Singapore, Hong Kong, the US & Japan have reached $331,212.77 since July 29th 2020, a week after the new Middle Eastern war was unleashed by a pair of power-hungry despots, as the consecutive day count reaches 1,393 successive days, over TRIPLE the previous high attained in 2017-2018 ! Additionally, the tally since 2013 has reached $762,346.74.
This more than offsets the significant paper losses on the majority of holdings listed locally.












