Yaskawa Electric 安川電機 finally springs into the black from being down 40%!

 

A rather slipshod, scantily thought out entry into the Japanese robotics enterprise just 2 days before the February dividend entitlement turned disastrous in short order as it issued a reduced profit forecast around the same time & ran into the Trumpanic tariff storm with the rest of the market, crashing to -39.7% below my cost.

Thus was the most challenging period of my 31-year investing career since 2008 : April - July 2025, where most of my investments went deeply underwater & I was left wondering how long I had to endure & whether all my hard study exceeding 20,000 hours was ultimately paying off. However, with major markets rebounding powerfully, especially from July onwards, one after another of my Japanese [ & even some Malaysian] long positions went back into the black & I was able to take surprisingly profits on some of the worst performing ones at the time of the April meltdown: Shindengen, Eisai & Dijet among many others.

After a recent raising of its profit forecast by 12% on 3rd October, Yaskawa Electric became the latest 🎌 bet to cave to my heightened positive expectation by soaring into a gain after commissions, with the two dividends picked up since entry offsetting the buy commission. What follows are snapshots of the company from 1978, 1991, 1998, 2013 & 2020 and based on revenue, EPS & dividend yield, the company is potentially anywhere from somewhat overvalued to significantly undervalued so I will likely wait for the 0.618 Fib retracement of its decline from ¥6,877 from ¥2,582 which points to  ¥5,236 as a likely target. It's unlikely I will  wait for the  ¥6,000-¥6,800 range which is the 'triple-double' top ceiling from 2018,2021 & 2023/2024 even with the Nikkei almost certain to hit 50,000 today, the 21st of October 2025!